太阳成8722(中国)有限公司-GREEN NO.1

标题：A game-theory based agent-cellular model for use in urban growth simulation: A case study of the rapidly urbanizing Wuhan area of central China作者：Tan, Ronghui; Liu, Yaolin; Zhou, Kehao; Jiao, Limin; Tang, Wei

来源出版物：COMPUTERS ENVIRONMENT AND URBAN SYSTEMS 卷：49 页：15-29 DOI：10.1016/j.compenvurbsys.2014.09.001 出版年：JAN 2014

摘要：Accurate modeling of urban growth is an extremely important component of urban geographic studies and is also vital for future urban planning. The trajectories of urban growth can be monitored and modeled by the use of geographic information system techniques, remote sensing data, and statistical analysis. In this study, we couple game theory with an integrated agent-cellular method to develop a model of the major determinants controlling urban development, which not only accounts for socioeconomic driving forces but also captures human actions. Wuhan, the largest city in central China, is undergoing rapid urbanization and is facing uncontrolled urban expansion. The city proper region of Wuhan is selected as the case study area to simulate urban growth during the period between 2003 and 2023. The results indicate that the social conflicts between the different stakeholders in urban development can be identified by utilizing a game tree. The game-theory based agent-cellular model is shown to be more effective than a pure cellular automata model in urban growth simulation. The results also show that, from 2013 to 2023, the urban area of the Wuhan city proper region is predicted to grow to 442.77 km(2), which is almost two times the area in 2003. This research is the first study to use empirical data and game theory to analyze the decision-making process in urban development in the Wuhan area.

入藏号：WOS:000345805300002

文献类型：Article

语种：English

作者关键词：Urban growth, Game theory, Cellular automata, Agent-based model, Wuhan

扩展关键词：LAND-COVER CHANGE; FUTURE SCENARIOS; USE DYNAMICS; AUTOMATA; LANDSCAPE; CITY; EXPANSION; PATTERNS; URBANIZATION; CITIES

通讯作者地址：Liu, Yaolin; Wuhan Univ, Sch Resource & Environm Sci, Wuhan 430079, Hubei Province, Peoples R China.

电子邮件地址：tanronghui1999@gmail.com; liuyaolin1999@126.com; mickey1112@qq.com; lmjiao027@163.com; 4535525@163.com

地址：

[Tan, Ronghui; Liu, Yaolin; Zhou, Kehao; Jiao, Limin; Tang, Wei] Wuhan Univ, Sch Resource & Environm Sci, Wuhan 430079, Hubei Province, Peoples R China.

[Liu, Yaolin; Jiao, Limin] Wuhan Univ, Key Lab Geog Informat Syst, Minist Educ, Wuhan 430079, Hubei Province, Peoples R China.

研究方向：Computer Science; Engineering; Environmental Sciences & Ecology; Geography; Operations Research & Management Science

ISSN：0198-9715

eISSN:1873-7587